Today:
Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. Northwest wind 0 to 10 mph.
Tonight:
Isolated rain showers between midnight and 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. East wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday:
Rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 62. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Sunday Night:
Rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Monday:
A slight chance of rain showers before 7am. Partly sunny, with a high near 47. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Monday Night:
Partly cloudy, with a low around 28.
Veterans Day:
Mostly sunny, with a high near 44.
Tuesday Night:
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
139 PM EST Sat Nov 8 2025
Weather Synopsis:
Weak high pressure remains nearby through later today. Low
pressure and its associated strong cold front moves through
later Sunday. The center of strong high pressure slides well to
our south early next week, then a cold front may cross our area
later Wednesday. High pressure then gradually approaches from
the west later Thursday and Friday.
Near Term:
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT -
A partly to mostly sunny and seasonably mild afternoon is underway
as the area remains situated between systems. One area of low
pressure has departed off to the east over Atlantic Canada while the
next is trying to organize itself across the midwestern states.
Little change expected through the rest of this afternoon but as we
go into the evening and overnight periods we`ll start to see some
increase in cloud cover as a broad area of low pressure starts to
approach from the west and southwest. A warm front associated with
this system will extend west to east over the Poconos and NW NJ and
along this feature there could be some showers overnight in those
locations. Generally expect overnight lows in the 40s.
Unsettled weather still looks to be on tap for Sunday as the
aformentioned low affects the area. This will occur as an upper
level trough deepens to the west over the Great Lakes extending
south into the midwestern states. The system looks to come
through in a couple different pieces. Sunday morning, primary
low pressure will be located near Ohio with a secondary low
developing near eastern Virginia. As this secondary low moves
northward up the coast it will bring a period of rain through
that will affect the area much of the day. Skies will be mostly
cloudy with highs ranging from the 50s to near 60 over the
southern Poconos and NW NJ to the middle to upper 60s over
southern Delmarva. Also worth noting, as the triple point moves
north along the coast these areas that get close to or into the
warm sector will have some instability so there could be some
embedded thunderstorms. These would be confined mainly to
southern Delmarva, southern coastal NJ, and our marine zones.
Late day Sunday into Sunday evening there will likely be a break in
precip as the initial wave associated with the coastal low
moves off to the north and east. However the primary low will
track E/NE through PA toward New England and this will push a
cold front through west to east bringing some more showers by
later Sunday evening into the overnight. This should be mostly
moving out of the area by around sunrise Monday. Total rain
amounts through the period of Sunday and Sunday night look to
range from a couple tenths of an inch to upwards of .50 to .70
inches in spots. This will not be enough to cause any hydro
concerns. The colder airmass will for the most part not really
arrive until after 12z Monday so morning lows will be mainly in
the 40s except 30s over the Poconos.
Short Term:
MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT -
As the cold air advection increases during Monday, high
temperatures may occur during the morning to midday hours before
temperatures start to fall during the afternoon. The strong
upper-level trough continues to arrive during Monday with
shortwave energy, however much drier air is also forecast to be
advecting in. The bulk of the day should be dry, however an
extensive stratocumulus cloud deck may persist through the day.
Some sprinkles (flurries in the Poconos) are possible, with
perhaps even a few rain or snow showers at night as the colder
air depends and shortwave energy still moves through. A notable
northwesterly breeze Monday will also add a wind chill factor.
The cold air will become firmly in place Monday night with low
temperatures below freezing across pretty much the entire area.
Long Term:
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY -
Summary...Modified arctic air Tuesday gives way to some warming.
Synoptic Overview...A potent upper-level trough across the area
Tuesday is forecast to lift out by the end of the day. Additional
shortwave energy however should maintain a trough from the Great
Lakes and the Northeast Wednesday and Thursday. The trough may start
to shift farther to our east during Friday. At the surface, the
center of high pressure slides well to our south Tuesday. A cold
front may cross our area later Wednesday, then high pressure
gradually approaches from the west later Thursday and Friday.
For Tuesday...A potent upper-level trough is forecast to swing
across the East with modified arctic air in place. Much of the model
guidance has a strong surface low inland of the Canadian Maritimes
during Tuesday with strong high pressure sliding across the Gulf
Coast states. This places our area in a very tight pressure
gradient. The axis of the trough should be crossing our area during
the day with the strong shortwave energy shifting to our east. Some
guidance hints at some snow showers especially during the first half
of the day, especially north of I-78. This could be mostly tied to
an upstream connection to lake effect, which sometimes is carried
this far east given strong enough flow and a strong trough axis
present (some mid level instability). The main theme of this day
however will be the cold air with high temperatures only in the low
to mid 40s (30s in the higher terrain of the Poconos to far
northwest New Jersey). A gusty west-northwest wind will also drive
wind chills down into teens and 20s to start the day, then rising
into the 30s to near 40 degrees in the afternoon. Peak wind gusts
look to be in the 30-35 mph range during the day, then diminishing
some at night. The air mass starts to moderate aloft already by
Tuesday night, therefore while it will still be cold Tuesday night
it should not be quite as cold as Monday night.
For Wednesday and Thursday...While the main upper-level trough has
already departed well to our northeast Wednesday, additional
shortwave energy diving southeastward from the Midwest and Great
Lakes should maintain a trough into the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic
regions. As this occurs, surface high pressure centered across the
Southeast U.S. will track eastward. A notable breeze looks to be
present both Wednesday and Thursday given a tight pressure gradient
in place and the amplified synoptic pattern. A cold front may cross
our area later Wednesday, however this timing will depend on the
amplification of this trough once again southeastward. This front
looks to be weak and moisture-starved, therefore any chance for some
showers look rather low as of now. Temperatures warm some both of
these days, however highs look to be near or a little below average.
For Friday...The Mid-Atlantic region may become more situated on the
backside of the aformentioned upper-level trough as it gradually
moves away. This will determine our temperatures as a colder air
mass may be in place ahead of surface high pressure that starts to
approach from the west. Low pressure near the vicinity of the
Canadian Maritimes and incoming high pressure would keep a notable
breeze going. As of now, this time frame looks to be precipitation-
free.
Click for full NWS PHI Office Area Forecast Discussion
